What Levels Could BTCUSD Pullback To? Exactly four weeks since Bitcoin split into bitcoin and bitcoin cash, the original digital currency hit a record high versus the US dollar on Tuesday, while the offshoot fell to its lowest in more than a week. Now the question is whether or not we could see a BTCUSD pullback after this surge.
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When Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies first make an appearance a few years ago, many people — including myself– dismissed them as a fad. But now, here we are, with an estimated 5 to 10 million unique active users of cryptocurrencies. Now BitCoin has even found a way in the luxury market. Some people are buying goods and services with Bitcoin, but many are simply holding it as an asset, like gold or art. With that, it is no surprise that we saw yet another surge of BTC versus the USD on Tuesday, hitting a record high near $4,700. This comes after Litecoin hit an all time high versus the US dollar on Monday.
1- Technical Points: Could We See a BTCUSD Pullback?
While BitCoin has generally been growing in price, hitting an all time high does not mean that we won’t see a retracement in the near future.
BTC/USD has continued its journey above the daily Ichimoku cloud since it broke above it in July. In most other time-frames longer than the 4-hour chart, the cryptocurrency hasn’t really lasted below the cloud, which is an unlikely behavior for a currency pair. With this, even the technical analysis indicates that the Bitcoin market participants are viewing it more as an asset rather than a day-trading opportunity.
What Levels Could BTCUSD Pullback To?
Analyzing the daily chart, the key level that BTC/USD could most likely fall back to before further hikes, is the 23% Fibonacci retracement and key support level of 4,000. In the past, BTC/USD has retraced all the way back to the 50% Fibonacci level so if history is bound to repeat itself, a temporary pullback towards 3,250 is also possible. Long term investors could take advantage of these pullbacks to grow their portfolio.
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Market sentiment analysis is the 3rd point of the IDDA, taking a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. BTC/USD mostly consolidated after the surge on the hourly chart. This indicates indecisiveness in the market for now as the volatility has also cooled down.
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Disclaimer (1): As 4th point of the IDDA, you must calculate your risk tolerance before deciding on which trading strategy is suitable for your portfolio. We normally do not recommend trading without three or more confirmation of a specific direction from technical, fundamental and market sentiment points of view.
Disclaimer(2): Forex is one of the HIGHEST risk investing instruments there is. If you don’t have sufficient risk tolerance to trade forex, you can try investing other online securities.
Final thoughts: Based on our IDDA outlook, there certainly is a chance for BTCUSD to pull back in the coming weeks to at least one of our key support levels.
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Combining all points of the IDDA, here are Invest Diva’s calculations for important approximate levels to keep an eye on: