Arm Holdings Bold Move Into Chipmaking: A Game-Changer Or A Costly Gamble For Investors?

Arm Holdings is a semiconductor design company currently owned by SoftBank Group.

Instead of manufacturing chips, Arm has historically focused on licensing its processor designs to companies like Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), and Amazon (AMZN), which then build their own custom chips. 

Arm’s architecture is widely used in smartphones, data centers, and AI applications, making it a key player in the global semiconductor industry.

However, in a surprising shift, Arm is now planning to manufacture its own data center chips, a move that could drastically change its business model and impact its relationships with long-time customers.

ARM Holdings Video Overview

Arm’s Strategic Shift

Arm is attempting to expand beyond its traditional licensing model by developing its own Arm-branded data center chips.

To execute this shift, the company is poaching top executives from major tech firms and is rumored to be considering the acquisition of Ampere, a private chip designer, to accelerate its efforts. 

This move signals Arm’s ambition to capture more value from its technology rather than just licensing it out.

However, this also raises concerns about how its existing customers will react to the shift.

Meta’s Early Buy-In and Industry Implications

According to reports, Meta will be the first customer for Arm’s new chips, which are expected to launch this summer. This partnership signals confidence in Arm’s new strategy, but it also introduces risks.

Since Arm has historically supplied chip designs rather than built its own, this move means it will now compete with its biggest customers.

Companies like Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Apple, which license Arm’s architecture, may start looking for alternatives. 

Some analysts believe this could push firms toward x86-based chips from Intel and AMD, or even open the door for competitors like RISC-V, an open-source chip architecture.

At the same time, Amazon has already announced plans to design its own custom x86-based CPU, a move that could signal a larger shift in the industry.

If more companies move away from Arm’s ecosystem, the company could struggle to maintain its dominant position.

Valuation: Is Arm Overpriced?

Arm’s stock has been on a strong rally, but some analysts believe it’s significantly overvalued.

Morningstar’s fair value estimate for the company is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, which suggests that Arm is trading at a 107% premium to its intrinsic value. 

Many analysts agree that the stock’s current price reflects high expectations, making it a riskier investment at this level.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, Arm’s weekly Ichimoku chart is showing weak bullish signals, while market sentiment remains neutral. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also neutral, indicating that the stock isn’t strongly overbought or oversold.

Given the high valuation, a Buy Limit (BL) approach may be considered at lower levels:

BL Entry Points:

• $129.08
• $114.27
• $95.07

Remember: Investing is personal, and what is right for me might not be right for you. Always do your own due diligence. You should ONLY invest based on your own risk tolerance and your timeframe for reaching your portfolio goals

Summary: Arm Holdings Bold Move Into Chipmaking: A Game-Changer or a Costly Gamble for Investors?

As a recent IPO, Arm remains a high-risk investment, especially with its business model shift into chip production.

If successful, this move could unlock massive growth opportunities, particularly in AI and data centers.

However, losing major customers due to increased competition could be a major setback.

For investors considering Arm, the key question remains: Will this bold move make Arm a semiconductor powerhouse—or could it backfire and push customers toward competitors?

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If you enjoyed my blog post about Arm Holdings, you’ll love my post on ‘Riding The AI Wave: Top 3 Reasons Why TSMC Is The Chipmaker To Watch’. Disclosure: I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. This information is for educational purposes only. This post about Arm Holdings may contain affiliate links, meaning I get a commission if you decide to make a purchase through my links, at no cost to you. Please see the terms of service page for more information.