Broadcom In The Crossfire: Should Investors Worry About Tariffs And Supply Chain Risks?

Broadcom is one of the biggest names in the semiconductor world, powering everything from iPhones to cloud data centers.

As demand for AI chips grows and geopolitical tensions rattle supply chains, investors are watching Broadcom closely to see if it can stay ahead of the curve—or get caught in the crossfire.

The IDDA Analysis framework is used to analyze companies and determine which are right for you. There are five steps to the process:

1. Capital Analysis – Your personal risk tolerance.
2. Intentional Analysis – Your unique financial goals and timelines based on your age, health, and lifestyle.
3. Fundamental Analysis – The viability of the asset based on company performance, financial health, and market position.
4. Sentimental Analysis – The current emotions of Wall Street and other market participants.
5. Technical Analysis – Historical price action to identify key psychological levels and market patterns.

Let’s dive into the IDDA analysis to assess Broadcom’s fundamental, sentimental, and technical outlook.

IDDA POINT 1&2 – CAPITAL & INTENTIONAL 

The capital and intentional analysis need to be conducted by you.

Select your assets in alignment with your financial goals. Listen to your intuition about each asset, but remember to invest based on your own values, not just because of recommendations from others.

Don’t know your risk tolerance? Get Kiana Danial’s risk management toolkit for free here.

IDDA POINT 3 – FUNDAMENTAL

Broadcom is one of the most important chipmakers in the world. You’ve probably never seen their name on a product, but their technology is everywhere—inside your iPhone, in your Wi-Fi router, powering data centers, and helping the world run AI.

♦ Strong Revenue & Profits
In its latest report, Broadcom made over $11.96 billion in revenue—and $4.4 billion in profit. That’s a lot of money. And the company has been growing steadily, year after year.

♦ AI Is a Big Opportunity
Broadcom is building custom AI chips for big tech companies like Google and Meta. This is a huge deal. The AI boom is real, and Broadcom is one of the behind-the-scenes players helping it happen.

♦ Strong Partnerships
They work with major clients like Apple, Google, and Meta. And for now, those clients are still buying. Broadcom has a solid pipeline of orders for 2025 and beyond.

♦ Software Boost
Broadcom doesn’t just sell chips. It also owns software businesses like VMware, which adds extra income and helps balance things when chip sales are slower.

♦ Risks to Watch

• Tariffs and trade tensions: Many of Broadcom’s chips are made in Taiwan through TSMC. If U.S.-China tensions rise, this could affect their supply chain.
• Customer concentration: A big chunk of revenue comes from just a few clients. If one of them stops buying, it could hurt.
• Slower smartphone sales: If people stop upgrading their phones as often, demand for Broadcom’s chips could drop.

The company is strong and profitable, but it’s tied closely to a few big customers and global politics. That adds some risk.

IDDA POINT 4 – SENTIMENTAL

Right now, Broadcom is getting a mix of cheers and concerns from investors.

🟢 Bulls Say:
♦ AI Boom = Big Gains
Broadcom is riding the AI wave. They’re building custom chips for Google and Meta, and that’s helping drive demand.

♦ Strong Clients = Steady Revenue
Their relationships with companies like Apple and Google give investors confidence. These are not small-time buyers.

♦ Software Revenue = Extra Stability
Broadcom’s software side (like VMware) gives it a cushion when chip sales slow down. That makes the company feel safer to own long-term.

♦ Still Undervalued (Some Say)
Despite its size and performance, some analysts think Broadcom’s stock is still cheap compared to its potential.

🔻 Bears Say:
♦ Too Dependent on a Few Big Clients
If Apple or Google pulls back, it could hit Broadcom hard.

♦ Trade War Trouble
Broadcom relies on TSMC in Taiwan to manufacture many of its chips. If tensions between the U.S., China, and Taiwan escalate, that could cause big problems.

♦ High Expectations = Pressure
Broadcom’s stock has done well. But now investors expect big things. If Broadcom doesn’t deliver, the stock could fall fast.

♦ Valuation Concerns
Some analysts say Broadcom is already expensive, and future growth may not come fast enough to justify the price.

There’s a lot of excitement about AI, but also nerves about trade wars and overreliance on big clients. If Broadcom hits its goals, bulls could win big. If not, it might disappoint. 

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IDDA POINT 5 – TECHNICAL

🔵 Monthly Chart: Bullish Long-Term Trend

♦ Candles are way above the Ichimoku Cloud → Bullish
♦ The cloud is green → Bullish
♦ The conversion line is above the baseline → Bullish
♦ Lagging span is above the price and the cloud → Bullish

📈 What it means:
Broadcom looks very strong long-term. This uptrend has been building for years.

🟠 Weekly Chart: Mixed Signals

♦ Cloud is still green and acting as support → Bullish
♦ BUT… the conversion line just dropped below the baseline → That’s a death cross and it’s a bearish signal
♦ Price is bouncing around near the cloud → Uncertainty

📉 What it means:
The uptrend is losing steam. The cloud is still holding it up, but weakness is starting to show.

🔴 Daily Chart: Bearish

♦ Candles are below the Ichimoku Cloud → Bearish
♦ The cloud has turned red → Bearish
♦ Conversion line is below the baseline → Bearish
♦ Lagging span is below the cloud → Bearish

📉 What it means:
In the short-term, Broadcom is in a downtrend. The daily chart is showing clear signs of weakness.

📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index)

♦ On both daily and weekly charts, RSI is near the neutral zone (not oversold, not overbought).
📍 This tells us: There’s still room for the price to move either way. We’re not at an extreme yet.

Potential Buy Limit (BL) Ideas:

$166.71

$143.41

$119.62

Here are the Invest Diva ‘Confidence Compass’ questions to ask yourself before buying at each level:

1. If I buy at this price and the price drops by another 50%, how would I feel? Would I panic, or would I buy more to dollar-cost average at lower prices? (hint: this question also reveals your CONFIDENCE in the asset you’re planning to invest in).
   
2. If I don’t buy at this price and the stock suddenly turns around and starts going up again, will I beat myself up for not having bought at this level?
   

Remember: Investing is personal, and what is right for me might not be right for you. Always do your own due diligence. You should ONLY invest based on your own risk tolerance and your timeframe for reaching your portfolio goals

Long-term trend is still bullish, but short-term weakness is clear. If the weekly cloud support fails, things could get choppy. Proceed with caution and watch key levels.

SUMMARY: FINAL THOUGHTS

• Broadcom is a strong player in AI, semiconductors, and infrastructure. It’s got solid growth, a reliable customer base (including Apple), and long-term demand on its side.
• But there are a few red flags: 

♦ Heavy dependence on a few clients
♦ Exposure to U.S.-China tensions
♦ Short-term technical weakness

• 📉 The stock is in a downtrend right now, and investor sentiment is mixed—some are excited about the AI boom, others worry about valuation and risks.

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If you enjoyed my blog post about the Broadcom Stock Update, you’ll love my post on Could AppLovin Be the Next S&P 500 Addition? Here’s What Investors Need to Know.

Disclosure: I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice. This information is for educational purposes only. This post about Broadcom in the Crossfire: Should Investors Worry About Tariffs and Supply Chain Risks? may contain affiliate links, meaning I get a commission if you decide to make a purchase through my links, at no cost to you. Please see the terms of service page for more information.