今日のテクニカル分析

今日は最近ホットな経済データに飢えている皆さんも納得の多くのデータが公表される日です。
マーケットを揺るがす今日のイベントはおそらく、豪ドル・英国ポンド・カナダドルそしてUSドルに効果がありそうです。アジア時間はオーストラリアの予想値を若干上まったCPI発表で始まり、
続いて英国MPC資産買入れ機関の投票結果は0-0-9と発表されました。

カナダのコア小売売上高指標が米国CPIと同時に発表されました。
カナダドルにとっては予想値を下回り、USドルにとっては予想値を上回ったため、USD/CADペアでは急激な上昇が見られました。

ロンドン市場が閉まるちょうどその頃、カナダ銀行の記者会見が午後4:15から始まり、ポロズ総裁のスピーチが続きます。
RBA総裁のスティーブンズは午後10時からスピーチが予定されており、遅い時間に取引をしたい皆さんにはよいボラティリティを創りだしてくれるでしょう。

さて、どれもこれも楽しみではありますが、今はしばらくマーケットの喧騒から離れて今日のテクニカル分析に着目してみましょう。

English ver

日本語版メルマガ開始しました!登録はこちら:

短期FXテクニカル・レベル分析

EUR/USD 4時間足: ダブルトップパターン完成。

Invest Divaの予想: 1.2661の下でショートポジション。ターゲットは1.2511と1.2442です。

代替シナリオ: 1.2661の上で1.2753と1.2828をターゲットに上昇。

ダンスフロア概観: 50%フィボナッチレベルでダブルトップパターンを完成しリバウンドした後、現在23%フィボナッチレベルに接近中です。これを下抜けすれば更なる下落が予想されます。RSIは中立エリア下方です。

サポートとレジスタンス
1.2828

1.2753

1.2661 ピボットポイント

1.2511

1.2442

GBP/USD 4時間足: 保ち合い。

Invest Divaの予想: 1.6025の下でショートポジション。ターゲットは1.5942と1.5882です。

代替シナリオ: 1.6025の上で1.6114と1.6186をターゲットに上昇。

ダンスフロア概観: 50%フィボナッチレベルからリバウンドした後一目の雲の中で1.6025の23%フィボナッチレベルに接近中です。RSIは中立エリアより下側です。

サポートとレジスタンス
1.6186

1.6114

1.6025 ピボットポイント

1.5942

1.5882

USD/JPY 4時間足: 一目の雲の中で上昇。

Invest Divaの予想: 107.21の上でロングポジション。ターゲットは108と109.17です。

代替シナリオ: 107.21の下で106.71と105.67をターゲットに下落。

ダンスフロア概観: 50%フィボナッチレベルでリバウンドした後一目の雲に突入し、キーレジスタンスレベルに接近中です。RSIは中立エリア上空です。

サポートとレジスタンス
109.17

108

106.71 ピボットポイント

105.67

104.63

USD/CHF 4時間足: 上昇。

Invest Divaの予想: 0.9491の上でロングポジション。ターゲットは0.9573と0.9745です。

代替シナリオ: 0.9491の下で0.9392と0.9336をターゲットに下落。

ダンスフロア概観: 一目の雲とボリンジャーバンドの上昇バウンダリー付近で遷移中。一目の雲を上抜けすればさらなる上昇が期待できます。RSIは中立エリア上空です。

サポートとレジスタンス
0.9689

0.9573

0.9491 ピボットポイント

0.9392

0.9336

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