USDCAD Up Ahead of Canada’s Manufacturing Sales
After failing to break below the 38% Fibonacci level at 1.1990 back in May, the pair rallied back up reaching our key resistance level of 1.25. Currently failing to break below the Ichimoku cloud with a bullish sentiment, we could see more up moves back to 1.25 and 1.27 in extension.
US Fed Rate Decision
Focus in the US this week is going to be squarely on the Federal Reserve rate decision on Wednesday. There almost certainly won't be a rate hike, but the market thinks that there will be strong signals that a rate hike is on the cards this year - something that the IMF and World Bank have both urged against. The Economist's cover story this weekend was on the risks of a global recession and the US raising rates is one area that could make that a reality, if it's not managed properly.
Canada's Factory Sales
The manufacturing (factory) sales index a leading indicator of economic health - manufacturers are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their sales can be an early signal of future activity such as spending, hiring, and investment.
Bullish above 23% Fibonacci targeting 1.25
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